Project 2:  Study of the relationships among Macroeconomic Variables

            in the United States.

 

 

 

 

 

Objective:  To have students produce a graphic visualization of

macroeconomic variables for the period 1959-98.

 

 

 

Procedures:

 

 

 

 

 

1.  The data for the project are available at the bottom of this page. The
variables are:

 

 

Col. a - Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

Col. b - Real GDP (RGDP)

 

 

 

 

Col. c - GDP Deflator (PGDP)

 

 

 

 

Col. d - Unemployment Rate (UR)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2.  You will next need to perform the following three transformations:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cols. e and f- calculate the percent change of RGDP and PGDP; the first

 

    is real output growth in the US, the second is the inflation

 

    rate.  To do the growth in GDP, for example, use the formula

 

    = ln(b5/b4)*100 in cell e5, and copy this down.

 

 

Col. g - take the average of the previous five YDOT's.  This is a

 

    proxy for the unobservable potential growth rate of real GDP.

 

    I will assume you can figure out how to do this.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3.  Now comes the time to create a graph of the five series in columns

    D through g.  You need to include a title and legends so the reader

    can figure out what you've got on the graph.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4.  Next, print out the spreadsheet data and the graph.  Do these separately

    so you've got plenty of room for the graph.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5.  Finally, explain, in your own words, what the picture is telling you.

    In the immortal words of that great artist Rod Stewart "Every Picture

    Tells a Story, Don't It?"  OR "a picture's worth a thousand words."

 

The data for this project

Graph of the macro variables